matthewmckibben


My Electoral Map
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Here's my prediction for how the election turns out tomorrow. I think Ohio and North Carolina are going to stay red, but I predict that Florida will flip blue. I think McCain will win Indiana but that Obama will win Pennsylvania by about 7 points.

So yeah, my prediction is an Obama win with about 329 electoral votes, which is a pretty solid win. I'm not not sold that he's going to be able to win enough rural votes to be able to win states like North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, and Indiana, but I think that some of these states could end up really close. I think Obama wins Missouri by about 4 points.

I think that we'll win Senate seats in Virginia, NH, New Mexico, Colorado, Arkansas, North Carolina, and Oregon. I think Minnesota will be close, but I predict that Al Franken will win his race in Minnesota. I also predict that Georgia will go to a run-off. If it comes to that point, who knows what a run-off brings.

I think the Dems will pick up 25 House seats (pulling that number out of my ass).

I think that Proposition 8 will fail to pass, as will the abortion ban in SD.

We'll know soon, won't we? :-)

- Matt

<br> <br><strong>><a href='http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/electoral-college/'>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends. <br> <br>


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